http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2.c...;hour=Animation

check out the GFDL models, they have TD#10 becoming a cat. 3 hurricane in about 114 hours, and then in the llaasttt frame you can see a little spec of cat. 4 force storm. What are peoples opinions on this event?

EDIT: also, in 48 hours is has it being a TS Jose, we'll just have to seee

Ryan, as richisurfs mentioned in a later post, you can't use just one model run for any given system. The previous two runs of the GFDL, at 6z and 12z, both dissipated the storm within 48hr -- whereas now, after it has been dropped by the NHC, it takes it to category 4 status in five days. It's got a shot at regenerating down the line, probably in a day or so, but not like that. --Clark