My question is..if we didn't have the remnants of TD10 to discuss, would there be any posts today? But, its not like there isn't some potential here. Look at the latest IR SAT, convection is starting to refire around the north semi-circle of the LLC. Did anyone see Accuweathers video "point/counterpoint" today (http://weather.yahoo.com/vidindex/index.html). JB discusses features with another MET & he is still talkin about Jose forming from old TD10 and cruising to the Bahamas on the southern periphery of the Atlantic Ridge. I have to admit ole JB looked rather beaten down today. He just couldn't understand why Irene went northward through this tiny crack in the Ridge. He said, quite correctly, that there were no obvious upper level features to steer her north. I was in JBs camp on this one. I too thought the Ridge would be too strong also. He was also lamenting the fact that the GFS model for some reason this year is out to lunch. Anyway, too early to write off the remnants of TD10 - Western Carribean looks like one big convective blob tonite - might be something developing over the long-term with high pressure building over top and some of the models hinting at development.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/watl-ir4-loop.html
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