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The wave associated with former TD 10 has a current intensity rating of 1.0. This equates to maximum winds of 25 knots and indicates an improvement over yesterday's "too weak" rating. At this point in time, regeneration should not be ruled out. The longer this wave maintains its circulation, the better the odds of regeneration. By tomorrow, the environment could be growing more favorable. Hence, it would not surprise me if this system regained tropical depression status in the not-too-distant future. Longer-term, it could still pose an eventual threat (moderate risk) to part of the S.E. U.S. (coastline from FL to NC, with FL somewhat favored). For now, a west-northwest track is likely to continue as the wave possibly moves toward regeneration. |