What to make of old TD10? Well, there is at least a mid-level circulation near 18.5N-59W. It may reform another LLC there. At present, it's difficult to tell if a LLC exists. The environment does appear to be getting better, however, as it looks like an anticyclone is starting to build over the system and shear lessens. If its not classified this pm by NHC, then with the improving environment, perhaps tomorrow. I know we've been saying that the last several days so....

If something does develop, the numerical models seem to be aiming for the Fl Straits or Southern Peninsula in the next 4-5 days. I'm wondering now if the system would be too far south to be affected by the east coast trough or beats the trough to the GOM before coming under its influence. Of course, this presumes that it develops which is a big IF now.

http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_10.gif
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-vis-loop.html