For anyone interested in the recon reports who isn't checking them, the latest (at 1803 - 203 pm EDT) was from 18.4/61.2, flight level winds 170 degrees at 12 kt, pressure 1015 mb. Still a ways from the estimated center, but getting close to where there should be a west wind if there's a closed low (although if there's a circulation at all, the west wind will only be very close to the LLC because it is small & weak).

Here's the report:

000
URNT11 KNHC 181803
97779 17594 50184 61200 03000 17012 24232 /0015
41510
RMK AF304 0110A INVEST OB 19