couldn't tell what was going on this morning, but the cloud debris has sheared away some revealing the situation. the surface center started poking out around midday and is now well ahead of the scattered convective area/mid level circulation.. up near 19.5/62.5. it may be just barely closed, but is probably open. this piece is currently trying to run the shear zone... highly uncertain it will make it. the mid level vortmax has slowed down and is trudging wnw back at 18/59.5... the system may try to redevelop on either of these features or completely lose its definition from here. it is probably finally dead, though... unless the convection returns in some strong bursts this evening.
HF 1933z18august