you guys have more or less covered xtd 10. the low level signature may still be closed just above the sfc.. sw of the 20/63 feature at puerto rico sfc obs show calm or very light east winds. still has another half day to day's worth of travel to break the shear zone... whatever vorticity imprint on the atmosphere is left when it arrives near 70w in a day or so... well, we'll see. i'm not convinced there's enough of a weakness to turn the energy/system up beyond that point. given that there's no system right now and it may not redevelop, it's just speculation.
west caribbean disturbed weather should propagate wnw. i don't think anything will develop for another day or so... maybe when that shear axis has broken down more. weak disturbance hanging near the carolina coastline progged by some models to move ene or just sit around. none showing it doing much. the waves off africa have been pretty much puffing out as they come off. itcz is sort of depressed. not much else worth noting.
oh yeah, irene finally went out. it had a good two week run (august 4-18).
HF 2336z18august