xtd 10 remnant.. the vortmax is around 20/64 now. it'll be through the shear zone tomorrow afternoon. latest TWO says no development expected tomorrow, so the nhc is calling it over. i'm going to reserve that call until it goes away completely.
sw/w caribbean has had increasingly more ridging and diffluence-aided convection over the last couple of days. the convective bursts near 70w have stunted the fast low level jet some; setting up a stagnant/convergent environment further west. the mcc east of nicaragua that scott was interested in has an odd thunderstorm blowing on its old core, just drifting. if the trends in the area persist, a vortmax will eventually start feeding back and try to develop. close in to central america it would be running over land.. a tad to the east it might stay over water and move nw/wnw. hard to predict where a low will try to form.. probably closer to central america.
by the way, i have an order for everybody. that's right an ORDER. go look at what i posted a few mins ago on the everything & nothing forum. it's new technology... some of you probably won't be able to figure out how to use it, but for those of you who can... you're going to like it a lot.
HF 0230z19august