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I'm Suprised navy doesnt have a invest of for the wave near 13n 30w after what the NHC Said- "E ATLC TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 30W/31W S OF 22N MOVING W 10-15 KT. BROAD ROTATION ACCOMPANIES THIS WAVE WITH LOWER PRESSURES SUGGESTING THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERED ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 13N. THE WAVE COULD BEGIN MOVING FASTER NOW THAT IT IS FARTHER AWAY FROM THE ENHANCING W WINDS OFF THE COAST OF AFRICA. ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION IS S OF THE ITCZ." If it has a LLC then I would say is should soon become a TD. What do the met/mod have to say About this one? notice the TWD doesn't say closed circulation. if you look at the satelite, there is a puff of cloud debris near the turning in the atmosphere and all the convection is strung to the south along the itcz. this thing is nowhere near developing... maybe as the wave energy gets further west/into a moister environment it will perk back up.. not much in the way of modeling to suggest that, though. -HF |