quick check of the basin reveals the first day since august 1 without a tropical system active somewhere in the basin.
xtd 10 still has a surface trough associated with it near 21.5/67.5, moving wnw. convection is spotty.. the convective complex overnight broke down leaving a skeletal mlc back near 20/63. the surface feature is weak but still persisting... it aint over til it's completely over.
the impressive convection in the caribbean the other day isn't looking so sharp today. convection that was firing near an old mlc off the honduras/nicaragua border is scant, and the mlc has no apparent surface reflection in low cloud vectors. nothing there today.
stuff off the ga/sc coast is along a wind-shift line, nothing of consequence. globals still showing a system coming off africa this weekend, but getting less juiced over it.
very surprised that the basin is as quiet as it is, based on the pattern we had evolving early in august. there's a weak mjo-enhancement factor, but the upper lows are persisting in the basin, soi is staying neutral/weak negative, and eastpac development continues though the atlantic is only responding weakly. the mid latitude weather pattern is transitioning towards an early fall one... tropics seem to be in limbo.
HF 1641z19august