Mon Aug 22 2005 05:44 AM
T.S. Jose Forms in Bay of Campeche, Several Other Waves being Watched

5:30pm Update
Recon reports indicate that T.S. Jose has formed from TD 11 in the Gulf of Mexico, with sustained winds of 50mph and sea level pressure of 1002mb. Landfall is expected sometime early tomorrow as a moderate tropical storm.

Noon Update
Tropical Depression 11 has formed in the Gulf of Mexico, it is expected to move westward into Mexico as a tropical storm.

Original Update
There is currently nothing being tracked as a named storm or depression, but several active waves being watched right now.

The one closest to being classified is perhaps the wave in the Bay of Campeche, this was hovering over the Yucatan for the last few days and now has emerged into the Bay of Campeche looking rather good for development.

This would be short lived however, as it would likely move on into Mexico before becoming too much.

Moving east is the wave over Cuba, basically still the remnants of Tropical Depression 10, no development is expected but it may be able to slide into the Gulf, and if so will need to be watched. It could create some rain for parts of Southern Florida as well.

Out in the central Atlantic an African wave has persisted a bit and may become a depression in a few days if it continues to hold together. If it does, the most likely scenario is otu to sea for it, but it's worth watching.

Beyond that another healthy wave off Africa is there, and we can watch to see if that persists over the next few days as well.

Nothing overly concerning right now, and for late August, this is great news.

Event Related Links
General Links
StormCarib hurricane reports from observers in the Islands
Caribbean Island Weather Reports
Color Sat of Gulf
RAMSDIS high speed visible Floater of Storms

T.S. Jose

Animated model plots of T.S. Jose
Mexican Radar

Invest 97L

NRL-Monterey Satellite Data on 97L
METEOSAT-8 imagery over Europe & Africa from the Univ. of Wisconsin
Animated model plots of 97L


Animated model plots of Former TD#10

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