>>XTD10/Trop Wave will not develop, upper winds are too strong;

You should always put a caveat when dealing with the tropics or else use proclimations with universal modifiers with caution (not, never, always, definitely, etc.). The Upper Low to the NW of the wave energy and leftover energy from TD 10 will continue to move west to wsw over time which is what I think the globals are waiting for to develop the surface energy. If it does cut WSW or even SW, then the pattern reversal will, by nature, mean that upper level high pressure will replace the upper level low pressure that was formerly in that general area.

Bottom line, no way would I say "WILL DEVELOP" because upper level winds will be light in the next couple of days. I'm only going to say watch and see.

Steve