take a look off NE coast. in the warm sector east of the advancing front, that old frontal low that was off hatteras the other day has acquired a convective core. it's being baroclinically forced and will leave support ssts within hours (currently near 39/62).. if it was a few hundred miles to the south it would probably be a short lived fish spinner. maybe it's evolution is indicative of the pattern we're entering.
noticed the low level flow with the wave entering the caribbean is backing as well... just scattered convection, though, so don't think a low pressure will form.
some years the fourth week of august just goes nuts...
HF 1712z22august