i went and read the graveyarded stuff this morning. i'm not sure it should have been deleted... because even though i'd call the comments misguided they didn't really break any rules. gotta wonder why someone thinks tropical systems don't count because they're weak and hit mexico, though. we get a couple weeks off the insane pace we had in july and a bunch of people start shrieking about the active season being a bust. mind we've had that every year i've been here in some fashion or another (was really funny hearing people talking about a slow 2004 in late july.. august shut them up real quick). last november when i put my season #s at 17/11/5 i was thinking i'd probably miss high... glad i didn't give in to the consensus and go lower when the adjustments were made in may (EVERYONE was below me).. just kept 'em there. i dunno.. maybe i've always thought that forecasting wasn't about vacillating with the crowd, or trend of the week; if you're right, you're right.. if you're wrong you're wrong. it's looked like i'll miss low ever since mid july. name me a year in the last ten where we've had fewer than eight named storms after august 21. just 1997. i don't see that el nino, hombres.
HF 19132z22august