TD 11 is still a 30kt depression, but recon isn't out there yet. Kinda curious as to why the package came out to early if recon is supposed to be there for a fix by 5p as per the report (and was close at 4p), but oh well. Do expect a special advisory to bump this up to a TS -- Jose -- within the next hour or so. And no, unlike the initial 5p discussion said, this won't be storm #11 for the season...just #10. They'll correct that, too.

Low center might be trying to form on the NE end of the disturbed area in the Bahamas, due north of Hispaniola and due east of Homestead, FL, but it's not closed yet and winds are light in that area. It's got the potential for development, but it's not going anywhere fast over the next few days, giving us plenty of time to watch it. General track towards S. Florida over the next few days is likely; beyond that, too early to tell. Edit: check water vapor...definite upper-low is what is being reflected there. Gotta work it's way down to the surface -- not out of the question -- but it's going to impede anything else from getting going in its immediate vicinity in the near-term.

If nothing else, 97L has consolidated somewhat. The convection on the southern end is gone and new convection appears to be trying to fire near the low-level center near 17N/34W. Will have to watch the trends with that overnight, but if it holds together, it'll probably become a depression sometime tomorrow or Wednesday. Area just along the coast has impressive convection but not much organization yet...still one to watch over the coming days.

More later if I get a chance, though with TD 11/Jose about ready to move inland, there's not a whole lot to update...yet.