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Here is tonight's take on the situation from a local WPB meteorologist who has been advertising for days a possible flooding situation approaching Florida at a snails pace: Rich, that is a very good analogy of Jerry.....Although the upper atmospheric conditions are not what I call the best for this situation..The one thing I looked at is the steering winds up to mid levels which reveal to me that this system will be slow to move and given the fact that with the sun's unusually high solar radiation and little in the way of rain the water temps jumped up quite a bit. This may have been the contributing factors for Jerry in 1995 but in this case though this tropical wave heading our way is actually going to move just south and we are in the wettest part of it..a 1008 mb tropical low by late friday night on the GFS is no joke to me..in fact a slow movement in the area of our adjacent atlantic and more specifcally the keys and the gulf is really a concern ...a 1008mb low to me already means a tropical depression...even if it moves slowly westward across the keys Friday and slowly turns northwest actually going around the entire offshore peninsula from the southeast coast to the west coast of florida...into the weekend...this is really a system to watch out for a deluge of a rainmaker! |