Daniel: Building on what Random wrote, I think SHIP does not take land into account, but rather assumes the cylone (in this case, Jose) will be moving over water during the entire period of the model run. DSHP attempts to take into account the actual terrain the cyclone will pass over. Of course, the output from both depends in large part on the input and on the projected forecast track, among other factors....one mountain can make a huge difference. So the difference in the "forecasts" from the 2 is not unusual.

-Brad