danielwAdministrator
(Moderator)
Tue Aug 23 2005 01:02 AM
Models2

The updated/ latest models are in.
Hank, I'm in agreement with you, as usual, on the Tropical System in the Bahamas. Strange as it may seem the GFS has totally lost the signature in the 23/00Z model run.
The NAM is plotting the system but nil on the NGM, to no surprise.

I mentioned earlier that the NHC models had Jose' way out west at 102kts in 48-72 hours. I checked the latest GFS run, and it is forecasting nearly the same thing. I failed to notice that the 23N/ 115W coordinates were well into the E. Pacific. So Jose' may become the first ATL storm to cross over Mexico into the Pacific this year. 48 hours should tell us whether he will make it or not.



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