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Models have now updated: http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_99.gif Appears landfall west of the Miss. is unlikely. I'll be curious to see the runs later on when they have info from recon. Would not suprise me in the least to see this upgraded today. Also for those wondering, the floater is off of Jose and onto the area in the Bahamas now. I feel that another noteworthy development is the fact that the 12z GFS develops the system curently exiting Africa and takes it in the general direction of the islands in about 8 days. 06 runshowed a storm in just about the same location in 16 days (which would be a 3rd system). Obviously the long range models are only a step above the trusty magic 8 ball, but this does seem to show an unsettling pattern developing. GFS |