Random Chaos
(Weather Analyst)
Tue Aug 23 2005 11:34 PM
Re: 12

OrlandoDan:

The models are highly divergent. Some take it south of Florida into the Gulf (BAM). Others take it over FL into the Gulf (CMC, NOGAPS, UKMET). And still others take it into FL, bounce it off, then have it move up along the coast and hit NC (GFS, LBAR).

Take a look at the tracks here:
http://www.skeetobiteweather.com/archive/model/AL122005mlts.gif
http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_12.gif

Unfortunately, a number of the models don't show on the above spegetti plots, but you can see several here:
http://met.psu.edu/tropical/tcgengifs/

EDIT: Fixed model names to match latest model tracks...was using noon models from memory in original post

--RC



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