Random Chaos
(Weather Analyst)
Wed Aug 24 2005 03:17 AM
Re: UPDATED Forecast

Continuing from my previous post

Reading through more of the TD12 Discussion at the NHC:

GFL is the biggest outlier it seems, both in track and intensity. It fails to bring the storm to a TS at all, then it stalls the system over FL. Every other model, according to the NHC, takes it across FL. With ships showing TS by tomorrow and Hurricane before landfall, this could definately be interesting.

NHC is saying the band of convection has formed on the east side of the center - if that is the case then I'm not seeing any convection north, west, or south on IR. I wonder if the center may be realigning itself below the new convection soon?

--RC

Official NHC product may be found here.~danielw
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT2+shtml/240307.shtml



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