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The fact that they are not still sure of an exact center leaves this system open. So far the track points are trending to the right side of of the forecast. As she improves in organization, I think the model runs will improve. I think initial landfall will be about 20-50 miles north of current forecast. Well within the cone of error, though. I would say that for now, all of Florida's coastal areas need to keep a wary eye out. I only hope conditions do not converge to allow her to bomb out past Cat 1. |