Hopefully, with more recon data coming in, the models will become more uniform in nature. There are so many little things that could affect the track one way or the other. Some models have it coming south of Miami and then turning NE back across the state. Others have it out in the GOM and some have it going due west to Mexico.
The longer it takes to make the predicted turn to the W/WNW, the longer it will be out in very warm waters.
As always, time will be the only thing that dictates the final point of landfall.
And of course, people in the watch/warning areas should be prepared by this point. I don't see it bombing out either, but Mother Nature is a fickle lady.