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I have no updates to make to my thinking from last night on Katrina -- it is behaving exactly as I predicted thus far and still should make landfall about the time projected by myself and the NHC last night, i.e. sometime around midnight tomorrow night. For the full update, please refer back to the main page or to http://flhurricane.com/blog.php?met=Clark. Similarly, I have no change to make to my projected track area, though I would tend to favor the eastern edge of that zone; this is in fact slightly west of the current NHC track, though I see no reason to go against their thinking at this time. Intensity might be a tick higher, though. Again, for the full details, see the entry referenced above. If anything changes, I will post a full update. Otherwise, a minor update can be expected tomorrow with a full track projection for a potential second landfall slated for Thursday night -- or about the time of the first landfall. |