the speed of this system will also be a big factor in where it ultimately ends up... if it slows down then I think it will end up much farther to the east for its second landfall in the GOM... if it can maintain a good speed as it enters the GOM, it will be driven farther to the west per the ridge over time before the ridge starts to break down and the system starts the move to the north and landfall.... this could get quite interesting.... and it will also be interesting to see what the models will do the next day or two... but I bet they change, one way or another....