boy you're asking the wrong guy.... more than likely Miami will be on the southern half of the storm, which normally is not as bad as the NE quadrant.... right now I'd say somewhere between WPB and FL... but that only if it continues on its present path.... it's sat presentation continues to look better over time, its over some darn hot water, convection continues to build near the center....... could it make Cat 1 hurricane, I would think so, will it.... I'm not smart enough to tell you... perhaps one of the mets could better address your question.... bottom line.... I always listen to what the NHC is forecasting... they're the best of the best... good luck to all the floridians in the path of this one... hopefully it won't get much stronger

regardless not much difference between a strong TS or a Cat 1 storm....