To something around 5mph, most likely. Remember -- at 100mi offshore, a storm moving at 10mph will make landfall in 10 hours, but one moving at 5mph will make landfall in double the amount of time. The storm is currently 150 miles due east of Ft. Lauderdale -- at an average rate of speed of 7.5mph, that's 20hr to landfall. A slowdown to 5mph takes it to 30hr, which is about the projected landfall point...so somewhere between 5-7.5mph is the likely speed as it gets to Florida.

As noted last night, the projected forward speed from then -- and the current speed now -- suggests that a second Florida landfall is more likely than any other scenario. Again, what held last night still holds -- a faster speed now will result in a landfall point in north Florida further west...and this can result from the difference between 5mph & 8mph, as small as that may seem. As of now though, something in the central Panhandle area, generally from Destin to Apalachicola is the best bet. The threat to Louisiana is nearly gone, the threat to Mississippi is diminishing, and the threat to Alabama is there but moreso for a tangential impact than a direct impact.

We'll see what this storm does in the next day and go from there. About the only thing I'm 100% certain of is that it will not move directly into the northern Keys as a strong category 4 hurricane.