First recon vortex report is due any minute, but I'm not exactly sure how close the plane is yet. They'll be flying constantly through to first landfall today.

As for the the Keys -- it'd have to dive at a pretty big angle right now to get down there, and do remember that the southern (left) side of a storm is generally the weaker side when it is moving west. Given that and that TS force winds only extend out about 70mi at their furthest from the center, I imagine they just don't feel it likely that the TS force winds extend further south except in gusts with thunderstorms. Just my feeling, though.