| Random Chaos |
| (Weather Analyst) |
| Thu Aug 25 2005 05:09 PM |
|
Re: Models
|
Quote:
ukmet, gfs, cmc, all mm5 all have seem to be in agreement now on Katrina turning
north in the gulf and running parallel to the west coast and exiting in the lower big
bend area. nogaps is similar to nhc at landflall but track is to the right. gfdl has not
been updated. I think 5:00 advisory will have track adjusted to the right.
Not what I'm seeing about which tracks have update. Take a look: http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_12.gif
What's your source?
I'm seeing GFDL has also updated, and is still showing a jog around FL. Really wierd that one of the most reliable models continues to be an outlier, and also seems to be one of the most consistant about where Katrina is going.
BTW, TCGenisis at FSU and PSU haven't brought all their models to the latest it seems - some are up to 12 hours old.
--RC