yeah sorry rob but they are continuing to shift westward. The Models are shifting towards the Nogaps cause they now see it wont sit east of Florida till tomorrow, it will come on shore near Hollywood later tonight. I do think the Nogaps and the CMC is allittle too fast ( Nogaps) and too much west ( CMC) but I am in agreement with the GFS and UKMet. I also havnt seen the GFDL track or initiation. Thing is,,if this doesnt come onshore before midnight, doesnt exit SW florida by tomorrow evening,, then it will move along 83-84w with a bend to the NNE or NE just N of clearwater on Sunday evening. I expect the most strengthning of the system into a Cat 3 Saturday night into Sunday morning. I expect landfall around midnight tonight and exiting the coast around 3-5pm Friday. Saturday it will begin a bend to the NNW and then N later Saturday night into Sunday.