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ukmet, gfs, cmc, all mm5 all have seem to be in agreement now on Katrina turning north in the gulf and running parallel to the west coast and exiting in the lower big bend area. nogaps is similar to nhc at landflall but track is to the right. gfdl has not been updated. I think 5:00 advisory will have track adjusted to the right.
The new GFS takes it out more in the gulf by 100 miles more then its last run so you can take that out of those and as said the mm5 has done really bad.
I wonder what the gfdl will do now that the south part has not come about shall see soon i guess.
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