As for the GFDL, the GFDL wasn't predicting the southward jog until this afternoon. It was predicted very close to the coastline, so we still have to watch for it.

I just checked the storm-centered IR floater at CMISS and the floater is moving due-west.

The radar from NWS in Miami is showing an almost complete stall with the only apparent motion to the south southwest! (Just a half hour ago it was showing a west southwest track) Take a look for yourself and tell me if you're seeing the same thing I am about the movement of the center of rotation. I'd like someone to confirm what I'm seeing.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar/loop/DS.p19r0/si.kamx.shtml