Max Mayfield was just on CBS in Miami, he expects a second landfall in the Florida Panhandle, "the northwest Florida peninsula" area. Obviously he didn't buy (nor did I for that matter) the 18z runs that went westward.

A little bit ago Jim Cantore said this was the strongest cat 1 he'd ever been in. He ought to know.

Also, sad to note that two deaths have been reported in the Miami area.

95 mph wind gust on Virginia Key .

edit: *Latest GFDL is now in line with NHC track.*
http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_12.gif

Interesting. With both GFS and GFDL back towards the east of the other guidance, NHC track still looks dead on.