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I knew that Stacy Stewart wrote the latest discussion without looking at the signature. Very detailed. Here's a part of the discussion...relevant to the movement Frank is tracking. ...THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 265/5. 12Z AND 18Z UPPER-AIR DATA INDICATE THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF KATRINA HAS CHANGED LITTLE WHILE AN INVERTED MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH HAS DEVELOPED NORTHWARD FROM THE CARIBBEAN SEA TO KATRINA. THE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO INDUCE A SLIGHT SOUTH OF DUE WEST MOTION FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO. |