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Katrina came in around N Miami Beach and basically cut SW across all of Dade County - so whichever model predicted a southern curve was right, the storm did NOT take NHC projected "slow west" track thru Broward Co. Thus the forecast was accurate in the overall area of landfall and strenght at the time (good), but off considerably after that (bad). On a local level an error of entire county makes a big difference. Throughtout most of the day I'd would have bet the farm on WPB getting the worst and MIA getting the least, however in the end the opposite will be true. At this rate of movement and direction she'll pop out down in Flamingo/Florida Bay instead of Naples - so I sure hope people in the Keys and SW FL are paying attention. |