The N turn will be from the trough over the N plains and eastern Rockies right now, should be over the Missouri valley tomorrow, ohio valley on sat and Se US and eastern seaboard on Sunday...what does that mean? A trend to the models MUST ensue to the E in time. 1-2 might not want to pick it up until the last moment. People may say,,look at that strong ridge over Arkansas that will slide and and reinforce a push south of the frontal trough..the same push it gave Katrina now to the sw (which most models predicted). this will drive it down to the panhandle across georgia and the Carolinas on sunday,,now with saying that,,Katrina will have to push NE along and ahead of the trough. Matters on her speed of movement from now until sunday. Faster she moves (10mph friday-Saturday) will give her enough time to get further NW in the gulf to near 85 w making landfall near panama city or she will go more east where I been projecting it.
Btw 1 model ( ETA ) is out now on the 0z run,,it has her getting to 85W but then move N and NNE to CrossCity by 84hours....this is a shift to the right as predicted...we will see if the major globels do the same. Will post more around 2am.