| Random Chaos |
| (Weather Analyst) |
| Thu Aug 25 2005 11:18 PM |
|
Re: Tampa/St. Pete re-entry odds?
|
Quote:
I live on the beach...literally...on St. Pete Beach. If this thing builds up and gets close, I'll have to board up and get out, so I'm watching very closely for any potential moves in my direction. Anyone got any educated guesses on the odds that this could be steered back in my direction after stewing in the Gulf for a while? I just saw a model that pushes it precisely that way (the A98E)...
(Please, no "gut feelings" or wishcasting...just looking for someone who understands the science a little better than I do as to what might steer this when it hits the Gulf in a couple of hours...)
I think right now we are looking at "wait and see." We have no clue anymore what this thing is going to do. Almost all the models show no loopback, but the environmental conditions show it might happen. But then almost all the models also aren't showing the system doing what it has already done the last few hours.
So, back to the "wait and see." If I were you, I'd pay very close attention to satellite and be prepared to go if you see it start heading toward you tomorrow. It is pretty clear that nothing major is going to happen tonight. It has to have a chance to strengthen, but I'd expect that to happen fairly quickly after it leaves land.