Random Chaos
(Weather Analyst)
Fri Aug 26 2005 07:53 AM
Re: Katrina Nearing the Gulf

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Am seeing the same wobble to the north




I saw the same wobble. I cancelled my plans in Naples today as I don't trust this storm. If one of residents mets can check this, is it possible it has escaped the influence of the high pressure ridge thus the 3-5 mph forward speed? It sure does not appear to have anything steering it right now.




Again I will repeat:
Radar out of Miami shows no northward motion yet. I believe what you, and most other people, are picking up on IR/Water Vapor is the wrapping around of that large convection mass that formed over the Keys last night. It is merely an optical illusion at this point.

However! I don't trust the models either. There is no run-to-run consistency yet.