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Ron, the FLA tracking map doesn't show a path hugging the coast: http://www.wfla.com Is it somewhere else on the site?
Ed, the map on their website is the official NHC track. At 8 AM this morning, their on-air MET, Steve Jervie, showed their VIPIR model simulation of Katrina that hugged the coast. If I remember, their VIPIR model had the storm running up the FL east coast too a couple of days ago so take it with a grain of salt. Their Viper model last year did correctly predict Charleys abrupt turn to the right into Punta Gorda though.
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