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I just read JB's article, he thinks Katrina may go all the way down to 920mb on Sunday afternoon and any weakening prior to landfall will be minor. I'd agree with him since the water temps in the far northern Gulf have warmed up to 88 - 90 degrees since Dennis used up some of the energy last month. With light shear, very warm water, an upper high providing divergence, only dry air may prevent Katrina from approaching Camille levels (905mb). Katrina kind of looks like Camille even. |