Margie
(Senior Storm Chaser)
Fri Aug 26 2005 05:40 PM
Re: Katrina's Forecast Track Shifts West, Northern Gulf Needs to Watch

Quote:

The 1700 advisory expects 148MPH winds.


No, it predicts 115kt (132mph) sustained winds. It said the superensemble model brings her up to 130kt (around 150mph) sustained winds before landfall.

Agreed that this was mentioned specifically because of its significance. However that wasn't a prediction.

You know what...130mph, 150mph; both are the same problem. Once you get above 130mph sustained, with higher gusts, does it really matter except for the record books. But let's be accurate about paraphrasing the NHC.


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