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Most of the NHC movements are based on an average over a period of time. Something like 3 to 6 hours. That's what messed up the Charley landfall last year. The storm had turned to the NE, but the average had it still moving NNW. Or something like that. Your eyes generally don't lie to you...unless you've been looking at CFHC for more than 12 hours! ![]() |