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I'm going off the NHC's guidance which puts the storm basically into Pascagoula - which nails Mobile, puts Pensacola under the gun (again) in terms of severe surge trouble and leaves Ft. Walton/Destin in a zone where they get significant surge trouble but probably avoid anything worse than sustained 50kt winds.
Of course if it goes further west then shift all that. Inland the rain problems will be ugly - we've had a lot of rain in this area this spring and summer, and as a result I'd expect quite a bit of inland flooding as the storm rains itself out.
That's assuming it ever moves anywhere. Right now it's just nudging AWAY from the U.S. (south). I'm still not convinced it's not going to pull an Opal, though.
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Re: AL MS LA