Quote:
My feelings have been blown out of the water today.
I have zero confidence in any model solution at this point...I am currently going old school and doing more diagnostic than model interp right now, trying to get a handle on these model vacillations. This is a TOUGH forecast. I am not ready to commit to anything more narrowed down thatn Apalachicola to Grand Isle at this point. Sorry...but this is a real problem to forecast.
Can we take it from that comment that you are ready to commit to narrowing it down to between Apalachicola and Grand Isle? That would be well east of the latest model guidance I believe. I doubt that you meant that, but just checking 
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Re: Katrina's Forecast Track Shifts West, Northern Gulf Needs to Watch