Quote:
"no Im pretty sure this one will head nw then east. Im gonna stick with the fl landfall!"
I would sure like to hear reasoning for this in light of the westward shift of the models and the persistent South-of-West motion
My reasoning for thinking this may (not will, but MAY) happen: the trough to the west and north of the storm. Eventually Katrina will cease the westward motion when it runs into the trough that is evident to the west on WV imagery. This will cause it to jet to the NNW. There it will hit another area that I can barely make out on WV imagery, and slide NE against this second area. End result would be scraping the extreme SE Louisiana delta, and making final landfall between Mobile and Pensacola, from the southwest, ala Opal.
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Re: Katrina's Forecast Track Shifts West, Northern Gulf Needs to Watch