Hugh
(Senior Storm Chaser)
Fri Aug 26 2005 11:11 PM
Re: Katrina's Forecast Track Shifts West, Northern Gulf Needs to Watch

Quote:

Quote:

115 held for 48 hours? That looks dangerous




Why does the NHC do this....keep it as a Cat 4 but hint at the two models pointing to a 5? Instead of erring on the conservative side for loss of life, just come out and predict a Cat 5 to get everyone and their brother out of LA/MS/AL. If it hits as a 3 or 4 then everyone's happy anyway.



It's call mass PANIC. If a Cat 5 is predicted to hit Greater New Orleans without sufficient time to evacuate the people, mass hysteria is likely to result. As it is, mass hysteria is only a 75-95% probability.

For what it is worth, I still don't have much faith in the forecast.


Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 1920x1080+ resolution.
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center.