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I don't follow that one. The official NHC track spares NO; it goes to the right of the city. Now if it had the path going just to the left of Lake Ponchatrain, then I could understand why there would be a lot of concern.
Yeah, the eye misses NO, but the storm surge and strongest winds don't. NOs sits below sealevel. The dikes can't hold back the kind of surge and storm driven waves they are talking about. I believe when they were talking about Ivan last year, the worst path for a storm to take, pertaining to NOs, was just to its east.
--RC
Can you give some more information on that? The strong winds would be offshore, and the storm surge mainly to the east of the eye, in MS. The main source of any rising water in the NO area would be the low barometric pressure, not a storm surge as such. Note: the strongest winds are always to the east of the eye, and with the current predicted landfall would all occur in MS, not LA - except for the very outlying delta areas in the Gulf well to the SE of New Orleans.
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Re: Update