Cash
(Verified CFHC User)
Sat Aug 27 2005 04:36 AM
Re: Katrina's Forecast Track Shifts West, Northern Gulf Needs to Watch

It needs to be repeated: hurricanes wobble in their path. No single frame to frame movement can be extrapolated into a definite larger-scale direction or direction change.

And in this case, I see no evidence of even a wobble. Look at radar images. Focus on the center of the circulation in WV and IR loops. There is no indication that I can see of even a wobble north.

And lastly, fretting over each of these frame-to-frame wobbles (real or perceived) is the path to madness, or at least a lot of silliness. This is going to be a major storm and everyone here will be obsessing to the degree expected, so that's all the more reason for posters to exercise restraint.

Don't mean to lecture.



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