| Hugh |
| (Senior Storm Chaser) |
| Sat Aug 27 2005 04:18 PM |
Re: new vortex
|
Quote:
it's been harder to track since the eye has been moving out of radar scanning distance... but the last looks and recon suggest that an eyewall replacement cycle is underway. convective symmerty has gotten shoddy since mid morning... until that smooths out and the eye becomes coherent again, looks like the hurricane will stay where it is (cat 2 by wind, cat 3 by pressure).
HF 1616z27august
I think you mean Cat 3 by wind, Cat 4 by pressure, don't you? 115 mph is cat 3, not 2. Otherwise, I think you're right in that it will maintain current intensity for a few hours at least.
nhc is probably reluctant to drop the winds based on the pressure, but i'm sure they've sampled the hurricane a lot and 87kt is kind of slack for a cat 3 FL wind. the pressure was last measured at 949mb, which is in cat 3 range. -HF