| Ron Basso |
| (Storm Tracker) |
| Sat Aug 27 2005 06:52 PM |
|
Re: scenario
|
Quote:
I have not heard how strong the trough coming thru the midwest will be. I know this will be the deciding factor. I remember Opal made it all the way to 92.3 west before itm turned north and then northeast, making landfall at 88.6
The trough in the midwest is too far north to affect Katrina and sliding off to the east. There is another one further south and west moving SE from west Texas. You'll notice that the clouds over coastal Texas are now moving NE. Upstream of the Texas trough there is some bowing off the coast of Oregon, usually a sign of building high pressure which could eventually sharpen up the amplitude of the trough in W Tex (causing it to dig deeper into the N Gulf). As usual, its a timing situation with the trough and storm but there should be some turning of Katrina toward the NW within the next 12 hours.
http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satellit...amp;duration=10